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It’s a sobering wake-up call that happens in exam rooms all across America every single day.

A doctor looks you in the eye and tells you that you’re at high risk for a heart attack.

Time to hit the treadmill… cut the calories… and maybe take a couple prescription drugs to boot.

But just how accurate are these predictions anyway?

Heart researchers have just made a stunning confession about their ability to tell who will have a heart attack… and who won’t.

And if you’re a senior worried about your ticker, you won’t want to miss this.

Want to know if you’re at risk of having a heart attack?

Flip a coin. That will be about as accurate as the gold standard tool being used today to assess risk.

Researchers from Mount Sinai in New York – one of the top-rated hospitals in the world – decided to put something known as the ASCVD Risk Estimator Plus to the test.

The ASCVD Risk Estimator Plus is the gold standard for assessing heart disease risk, and is recommended by both the American College of Cardiology and the American Heart Association.

The only problem? It doesn’t work very well.

When researchers applied the tool to hundreds of people who had suffered heart attacks, they found that 45 percent of the patients would not have been identified as high risk.

That’s right, the gold standard tool was only effective at identifying people at high risk for a heart attack about half the time… a coin flip.

It’s even more frightening than it sounds…

Decisions on patient care are being made all across America… today… based on the results of the ASCVD Risk Estimator Plus. That includes decisions on who should be put on drugs like cholesterol-lowering statins, which come with a laundry list of side effects.

Meanwhile, a headline from MedPageToday said it best: Cardiologists Still Have Little Idea Who Is Going to Have a Heart Attack.

The ASCVD Risk Estimator Plus may be the standard now… but there are much better tests out there.

One of them is the coronary artery calcium (CAC) test, which provides a CT scan of your heart and blood vessels to see how much calcium has built up.

Medicare may not cover the CAC test, but you can sometimes get it for as little as $100. That’s cheap insurance for finding out if your heart is really at risk.

View Sources

Lou, N. (2025, November 21). Cardiologists Still Have Little Idea Who Is Going to Have a Heart Attack. MedPage Today. https://www.medpagetoday.com/cardiology/myocardialinfarction/118638


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